Scenarios for future scientific and technological developments in newly emerging markets until 2015 - 中欧社会论坛 - China Europa Forum

Scenarios for future scientific and technological developments in newly emerging markets until 2015

Date: 2005

Published by Final report Ernst & Young

The aim of this research is to make recommendations relating to European policy in the field of Research, Technology and Development (RTD) with regard to the selected economic growth regions (‘emerging economies’) and with a 2015 time horizon. Of key importance is the development of the relationship between the EU and these regions, in which the emphasis will be on the consequences for European competitiveness and the various forms of cooperation with the respective regions. The research will develop scenarios outlining the state of affairs in the field of RTD in the respective regions up to 2015.

Policy recommendations are formulated as follows:

Policy Recommendation 1: Given that the influence the EU can exert over developments in China is limited, it would be advisable to cooperate with other countries and create programs in line with the Chinese government’s policy.

Policy Recommendation 2: To increase exchange of information between Chinese and European researchers, emphasis should be put on developing institutionalized dissemination platforms. This will help ensure a sustainable flow of information and discussion between researchers and their institutes.

Policy Recommendation 3: In the scenario concerned, there are no shortages of specific skills in China. However, currently businesses fear that in a few years sufficiently skilled employees will be hard to find. On the other hand, interaction between Chinese and European graduate students and researchers could be increased. Programs such as the Erasmus Mundus Program could be used to assist both the development of the Chinese workforce and the increase of information exchange between European and Chinese graduates and researchers.

Policy Recommendation 4: Commercialization of research in China is not always successful. Further liberalization of the Chinese economy will increase competition and stimulate innovation in Chinese companies increasing the pick-up of new technologies by the market. Within the framework of the WTO, the EU should continue to stimulate the opening of China’s market. To ensure sustainable growth, however, it should be combined with supporting the transition process that will eventually have to happen in parts of the Chinese economy.

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